Market Views
Why Italy Attracts International Investors
Italy attracts international capital not because it is perfect, but because the fiscal frame is rare, the lifestyle assets are irreplaceable, and the regulatory constraint on supply is statutory. The institutional read requires acknowledging the structural weaknesses with the same candour as the strengths.
IllustrationKey takeaways
- - Italy operates four distinct regimes for internationally mobile capital: art. 24-bis substitute tax (EUR 300k from 2026), Impatriati (50 to 60 per cent exemption, five years), art. 24-ter Pensionati (7 per cent, ten years), and the Investor Visa (four investment routes, 209 applications reported for 2025).
- - The 24-bis regime counted 1,495 people in 2023, 1,070 principal taxpayers and 425 family members (Corte dei Conti, June 2025). The technical report to the 2026 Budget Law assumes the EUR 300,000 charge roughly halves the yearly increase in new residents.
- - The Corte dei Conti (June 2025) observes that the Agenzia delle Entrate does not know the amount of foreign income covered by the substitute tax. The headcount is real; the fiscal accretion is not measured.
- - Lake Como prime prices rose 6.5 per cent in 2025 (Knight Frank PIRI 100, 19th of 100; global average 3.2 per cent). Engel & Völkers and Nomisma put foreign buyers at 28 per cent of purchases in Northern Italy in their 2026 report. Supply is constrained by the D.Lgs 42/2004 art. 142 300-metre lakeshore landscape band.
- - Italy ranks 34th of 143 on the WJP Rule of Law Index 2025, last in the G7, and 53rd on civil justice (World Justice Project, 28 October 2025). The March 2026 judicial reform referendum was rejected with 53.74 per cent No in the domestic count (Eligendo, via Quotidiano.net); the BTP-Bund spread closed at 87 basis points on the day of the result, against 92 the previous Friday, after an intraday high of 101 (ANSA, 23 March 2026).
- - V-Dem Democracy Report 2026 (10th edition) classifies Italy among ten new autocratising countries. The reading is contested domestically; the V-Dem methodology is internally consistent.
- - Henley's directional 2025 projections place Italy third for net millionaire inflows (+3,600, after the UAE and the US). Tax Policy Associates disputes the method, and no measured count of UK-origin arrivals in Italy has been published.
- - The institutional read: Italy is right for fiscal residence, lifestyle and EU residence; weak for dispute resolution and time-sensitive administrative process. The platform should anchor habitually in Italy while booking and operating elsewhere.
Revision notes
This article was corrected on 27 September 2026. A check of its figures and attributions against the cited sources found errors, which have been corrected in the text. The full list, with what the article said and what it says now, is in the corrections section at the end.
This article was corrected on 13 October 2026. It applied the EUR 200,000 amount to transfers from 10 August 2024; Decree-Law 113/2024 applies it to those who transferred residence after the decree entered into force on 10 August 2024 (Normattiva). It also said that the three amounts would coexist into the late 2030s; no statute read for this correction says so, and the statement has been removed. The corrections section said no source gives the 2024 taxpayer count; it now says the earlier version credited it to industry estimates.
The fiscal frame
Italy does not have a single tax regime for new residents. It has four. They are routinely collapsed into the headline figure of "the Italian flat tax", which obscures more than it explains. The four regimes target distinct populations, carry distinct durations and price points.
*The first is the art. 24-bis substitute tax on foreign-source income.* Introduced by Law 232/2016 at EUR 100,000 per year, doubled to EUR 200,000 by Decree-Law 113/2024 in August 2024, and raised to EUR 300,000 from 1 January 2026 by Budget Law 2026 (Law 199/2025). The same Budget Law doubled the charge for each additional family member from EUR 25,000 to EUR 50,000. The regime separates foreign-source from Italian-source income: foreign income is covered by the substitute tax, Italian-source income remains subject to ordinary progressive taxation up to 43 per cent. The option runs up to fifteen years, requires nine of the prior ten tax years as a non-resident, and keeps existing taxpayers at the amount in force when they transferred residence.
*The second is the impatriati regime, recast by Legislative Decree 209/2023 art. 5.* Italian-source employment and self-employment income up to EUR 600,000 per year is taxed on a 50 per cent base, rising to a 60 per cent exemption for taxpayers who move with a minor child or who have or adopt a child during the regime. Duration is five tax periods; a three-year extension tied to a main home bought by 31 December 2023 applies only to taxpayers who moved in 2024. Eligibility requires three prior years of non-residence (six or seven when moving within the same employer or group) and a four-year commitment. The post-2024 frame is materially narrower than the predecessor regime, a tightening not always understood outside the Italian tax bar.
*The third is the art. 24-ter regime for foreign pensioners. Article 24-ter TUIR applies a 7 per cent substitute tax on all foreign-source income (not only the pension), for taxpayers transferring tax residence to a qualifying Southern Italian municipality. Duration is ten tax years. Law 34/2026 of 11 March 2026, in force from 7 April 2026, raised the eligible threshold from 20,000 to 30,000 inhabitants, bringing a further group of mid-sized Southern towns into scope; no official count of the newly eligible municipalities has been published. The cohort is distinct from 24-bis*: retirees with foreign pension income willing to anchor in the South.
The fourth is the Investor Visa for Italy. Operated by MIMIT, the scheme grants a visa valid for two years against one of four qualifying investments: EUR 250,000 in an innovative Italian startup, EUR 500,000 in an S.p.A. or S.r.l., EUR 1 million in a philanthropic initiative, or EUR 2 million in titoli di Stato. MIMIT does not publish application statistics; figures attributed to the Italian authorities and reported by IMI Daily in December 2025 count 209 applications in 2025 up to 1 December, a 63.3 per cent increase on 2024. The Investor Visa is the entry vector for non-EU passport holders; the fiscal regimes are separate elections on residence.
The four regimes are cumulative in design but increasingly disciplined in interaction. Decreto Legge 38/2026, effective from tax year 2027, prevents simultaneous election of 24-bis and impatriati. The signal is consistent: access broadens (Pensionati threshold raised, Investor Visa volumes up), stacking tightens (Impatriati cut, 24-bis repriced, cumulation closed). A working policy environment that moved four times between August 2024 and March 2026.
| Regime | Statutory base | Tax treatment | Duration | Target population |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| art. 24-bis TUIR | L. 232/2016; DL 113/2024; L. 199/2025 | EUR 300,000/y substitute on foreign-source income (from 2026, was EUR 200,000) | Up to 15 years | HNWI with material foreign income |
| Impatriati (art. 5 DLgs 209/2023) | DLgs 209/2023, from 2024 | 50% exemption Italian income up to EUR 600k/y (60% with minor child) | 5 years (+3 only for 2024 arrivals with a home bought by end-2023) | Returning professionals, executives |
| art. 24-ter TUIR (Pensionati) | art. 24-ter TUIR; L. 34/2026 | 7% substitute on all foreign-source income | 10 years | Foreign pensioners, Southern municipalities ≤30,000 |
| Investor Visa for Italy | L. 232/2016; MISE/MIMIT decrees | Two-year visa against EUR 250k innovative startup / 500k SRL-SpA / 1M philanthropy / 2M titoli di Stato | 2 years (initial visa) | Non-EU passport holders seeking residence vector |
The scaling
*The scaling of art. 24-bis over its first eight years is the most legible signal of how internationally mobile wealth has actually responded to Italy.* The Corte dei Conti, in its June 2025 review of the 2024 State accounts, counts 1,495 people under the regime in 2023 (1,070 principal taxpayers and 425 family members), with about EUR 315 million paid in 2020 to 2023. The technical report to the 2026 Budget Law, as summarised by the Chamber of Deputies, records an average yearly increase of about 270 new residents in 2021 to 2023. Year-by-year counts for the early years differ between secondary compilations, and no single primary MEF table is published.
Two caveats are essential. First, the headcounts measure how many people use the regime, not how much income or investment they bring. Second, the Corte dei Conti, in the same June 2025 Relazione sul rendiconto generale dello Stato, observed that the Agenzia delle Entrate does not know the amount of foreign-source income subject to the substitute tax, nor the ordinary income tax that would have been due in its absence. The candour of that finding is a useful corrective to triumphalist readings of the regime's success. The headline scaling is real. The fiscal accretion is not measured.
The 2026 repricing changes the entry economics materially. At EUR 300,000 per year, the charge equals the 43 per cent top IRPEF rate applied to roughly EUR 700,000 of income (Victaura Research assumption: simple arithmetic that ignores surcharges, lower rates on financial income and foreign tax credits, all of which move the real breakeven). The technical report to the 2026 Budget Law prudentially assumes that the yearly increase in new residents falls to about 130, roughly half the 2021 to 2023 average. The Investor Visa, with 209 applications reported for 2025, remains a narrow vector by international comparison: Dubai alone issued 158,000 Golden Visas in 2023, according to its residency directorate as reported by IMI Daily. Italy's pull is not in passport-by-investment volume. It is in the substitute-tax election.
The properties
Italy's prime residential market is geographically narrow and structurally segmented. International capital does not allocate to "Italian property". It allocates to a short list of destinations, each with its own absorption profile, regulatory grammar and buyer mix.
Lake Como sits among the stronger Italian prime markets in the latest Knight Frank data. Knight Frank's PIRI 100 in The Wealth Report 2026 places Lake Como at +6.5 per cent in 2025, 19th of 100 markets, against a global average of +3.2 per cent; Florence (+6.7 per cent) and Rome (+5.5 per cent) sit alongside it. Engel & Völkers and Nomisma, in their Market Report Italia 2026 (April 2026), put foreign buyers at 28 per cent of purchases in Northern Italy, where Como sits, against 52 per cent in Central Italy and 41 per cent in the South and Islands. Their 2025 report placed renovated properties around the lake at EUR 4,000 to EUR 10,000 per square metre. Supply is statutorily constrained by Decreto Legislativo 42/2004 art. 142, which imposes a 300-metre landscape band along the entire shoreline, requiring autorizzazione paesaggistica. New freestanding lakefront development is, in practice, prohibitive. Substantial restoration of existing volumes is the operative path.
Milan captures the working capital. Knight Frank PIRI 2026 places Milan at +0.4 per cent year on year. Milan is the operating jurisdiction within the Italian platform: its region, Lombardy, hosts the largest regional concentration of family offices (Politecnico di Milano's Osservatorio counted 244 in Italy as of 1 June 2025, 90 per cent of them in the North), and the city is the main leasing market for the 24-bis and impatriati cohort. Milan is where the principal works; Como is where the principal lives.
Costa Smeralda remains the Italian benchmark for branded coastal living. The Engel & Völkers and Nomisma Market Report Italia 2026 puts average values in Porto Cervo and Porto Rotondo at EUR 28,000 to 33,000 per square metre, with top properties at EUR 47,000 (the 2025 edition gave EUR 26,000 to 32,000), while Knight Frank's PIRI 100 records Costa Smeralda prime prices flat (0.0 per cent) in 2025. The market is highly seasonal and trades on a narrow repeat-buyer base. The Aga Khan consortium's master-plan legacy and hotel anchors (Cala di Volpe, Romazzino, Pitrizza, Cervo) preserve the brand discipline that distinguishes the Costa from the rest of Sardinia.
Forte dei Marmi and Versilia are the operative Tuscan coastal venue. Idealista data for the first quarter of 2025, reported by QuiFinanza, put average asking prices at about EUR 10,150 per square metre in the centre and EUR 10,100 in Roma Imperiale. In idealista's 2024 ranking of the most expensive streets, published in September 2024, Via Luigi Raffaelli was Italy's most expensive street, with an average value of listed homes of about EUR 6 million. Setback regulations under Codice dei Beni Culturali e del Paesaggio operate in the same statutory frame as Como.
Inland Tuscany trades on a separate cycle. Chianti Classico, Val d'Orcia and the Lucca province support the casale and tenuta segment, with the longer absorption cycles characteristic of agricultural and historic estates; Knight Frank's PIRI 100 records Lucca at +4.9 per cent in 2025. The asset is the right Italian play for the buyer optimising for landscape and viticulture, not for liquidity at exit.
The structural strengths
Italy's pull factors beyond the fiscal frame are durable and difficult to replicate. UNESCO lists 62 World Heritage properties in Italy as of 2026, the highest national count (China follows with 61). The lifestyle infrastructure (gastronomy, wine, fashion, design, language) is institutional, not curated. Italy is the country where the architecture of luxury living is native rather than imported, a distinction that matters to a NextGen cohort increasingly sceptical of branded-mansion environments.
The EU residence vector is binding. Italian residence, properly anchored under either 24-bis or impatriati, provides Schengen mobility, EU healthcare access and family education optionality that Gulf or Caribbean alternatives do not offer in the same form. The Italian SSN provides universal coverage, with specialist care concentrated in the Northern regions. Bocconi, Politecnico, LUISS, John Cabot and the international school network (St Louis, Sir James Henderson, Marymount, ICS Milan, BIS Milan) cover the K through postgraduate path that an internationally mobile family requires.
The currency and capital-markets layer is the eurozone. Capital is held in euros, under monetary policy set by the European Central Bank. The Italian banking system, post the consolidation rounds of 2016 to 2022, is materially better capitalised than during the 2011 to 2012 crisis window. The private-banking onshore offer (Mediobanca, Banca Generali, Fideuram, Kairos) is mature, with cross-border desks calibrated to 24-bis clients.
The Italian asset is a rare lifestyle category. A villa storica on Como, a Roma Imperiale property in Forte, a restored casale in Chianti, are non-fungible cultural objects in a small global market with slow price discovery and a durable buyer pool. The scarcity argument rests on the fact that comparable replacements are bounded by the country's own perimeter, where new building inside the protected landscape bands requires authorisation under D.Lgs 42/2004.
The structural weaknesses, honestly disclosed
The institutional reader requires the weaknesses with the same precision as the strengths. Italy is rated by the World Justice Project Rule of Law Index 2025 at rank 34 of 143 jurisdictions, last in the G7 (Germany 6th, Canada 13th, the UK 14th, Japan 15th, France 22nd, the US 27th), and 53rd on the Civil Justice factor. The European Commission's 2025 EU Justice Scoreboard data put the disposition time of civil and commercial cases at 511 days at first instance in 2023, 703 days at second instance and 1,003 days at third instance. Italy is excellent for fiscal residence and lifestyle, and weak for the resolution of contractual disputes. A family that chooses Italy as a residence base should not, as a default, choose Italy as the seat of its contractual disputes.
The Italian judicial reform referendum of 22 to 23 March 2026 was rejected. In the domestic count, voters returned 53.74 per cent No against 46.26 per cent Yes on the constitutional reform proposing separation of careers between judges and prosecutors, the splitting of the Consiglio Superiore della Magistratura, and a High Disciplinary Court. Domestic turnout reached 58.93 per cent, below the 2016 constitutional referendum. The reform concerned the organisation of the judiciary, not the duration of civil cases, so the civil-justice delays measured above are untouched by the result. The BTP-Bund spread closed at 87 basis points on 23 March, the day of the result, against 92 the previous Friday, after touching 101 during the session; ANSA linked the fall to US statements on Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. QuiFinanza put the spread at 95 on 31 March, after it had exceeded 100 the previous week, citing the Iran conflict and energy prices alongside the referendum's effect on coalition stability.
*V-Dem Institute's Democracy Report 2026 (10th edition) included Italy in its list of ten new autocratising countries*, alongside Cambodia, Croatia, Kuwait, Madagascar, Slovakia, Slovenia, Togo, the UK and the US. The report dates the start of Italy's episode to 2021 and cites worsening media self-censorship and media bias favouring incumbents. The reading is contested domestically; the V-Dem methodology is internally consistent. Italy in 2026 sits in a different liberal-democratic cohort than Italy in 2015, consistent with the broader European backsliding pattern rather than as an Italian outlier.
The administrative friction at the residence-acquisition end is material. Codice fiscale issuance, iscrizione AIRE coordination, autorizzazione paesaggistica for prime-property intervention, and consular visto processing for non-EU applicants run on timelines incompatible with a Singapore or Dubai onboarding cycle. The right advisory layer (tax counsel, commercialista, notaio, landscape-permit specialist) is non-optional. A family approaching Italy with a Gulf-style transaction cadence is likely to under-budget the timeline (Victaura Research assumption).
The Bayrou critique sits in the political layer. Euronews reported on 1 September 2025 that François Bayrou, then French Prime Minister, accused Rome of tax dumping, spoke of "fiscal nomadism" and called for France to work at European level against member states that practise tax dumping. Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni called the claims completely unfounded, and Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani replied that Italy maintains its political and economic solidity without practising fiscal dumping. Bayrou lost a confidence vote on 8 September 2025. As remaining European venues consolidate, intra-European political pressure rises. The 24-bis regime is policy, not geography, and policy can be revised in any future Budget Law. The 300-metre landscape band on Como is also statute, but it sits in the heritage code (D.Lgs 42/2004) rather than in the annual Budget Law.
Italy is excellent for fiscal residence and lifestyle, and weak for the resolution of contractual disputes. A family that chooses Italy for residence should not, as a default, choose Italy as the seat of its contractual disputes.
Victaura Research, reading the WJP Rule of Law Index 2025 and the EU Justice Scoreboard
The competitive position
Italy sits third in the Henley Private Wealth Migration Report 2025 by inbound HNW migration, behind the UAE (directional +9,800 net) and the US (+7,500), with an Italian directional figure of approximately +3,600, ahead of Switzerland (+3,000). The June 2026 edition replaced migration estimates with a mobility index. The Henley dataset is treated here as directional only, consistent with the forensic critique published by Tax Policy Associates (Dan Neidle, July 2025) documenting a roughly one-in-240,000 statistical anomaly in the figures and calling for an independent audit. Henley's projected UK outflow of 16,500 for 2025 carries the same caveat. No published CenTax or HMRC dataset yet measures how many UK-resident millionaires moved to Italy after the non-dom abolition, so any Italian share of that flow is a Victaura Research assumption, not a measured figure. The migration is real. The map drawn around it in the trade press is not.
Against UAE. The UAE Golden Visa operates at a scale no Italian route approaches (Dubai alone issued 158,000 in 2023, according to its residency directorate), but it is a residence permit, not a tax election. UAE foreign-source income taxation is zero by default, so on pure tax terms the UAE proposition dominates at any income level; the Italian 24-bis at EUR 300,000 is a fixed cost that makes sense against ordinary high-tax residence, not against the Gulf. The Italian advantage is EU residence, the cultural and educational platform, and the political freedoms around it: on WJP the gap is narrow (Italy 34th, the UAE 37th of 143 in 2025), while Reporters Without Borders ranks the UAE 158th of 180 in its 2026 index.
Against Switzerland. The cantonal forfait regime, with 4,557 taxpayers at the end of 2018 according to the Federal Department of Finance (the latest figure it publishes; it refers readers to the cantons for current data), is the more mature lump-sum framework. Switzerland is not covered by the WJP Index; it ranks third on the ND-GAIN index of countries most prepared to adapt to climate change, according to the Climate Adaptation Platform (February 2026). Italy offers EU residence, which Switzerland does not, and prime-property scarcity at the very top of the market.
Against the United Kingdom. The UK abolished its non-domiciled regime, traceable to the first income tax of 1799, on 6 April 2025 and replaced it with the four-year FIG regime. The Italian 24-bis, available for fifteen years, is structurally longer than the FIG four-year window, and remains a working framework for a UK-origin family that has exhausted the FIG horizon. When a French Prime Minister accuses Italy of tax dumping, as Bayrou did in September 2025, the Victaura Research reading is that Italy has become the marginal European destination for the population previously absorbed by UK non-dom, Portuguese NHR and Spanish Golden Visa.
The 2026 reset
*The EUR 300,000 entry ticket from 1 January 2026 reshapes the 24-bis cohort.* The technical report to the Budget Law prudentially assumes that the yearly increase in new residents falls to about 130, roughly half the 2021 to 2023 average of about 270. Against the 43 per cent top IRPEF rate, the fixed charge equates to ordinary tax on roughly EUR 465,000 of income at EUR 200,000 and roughly EUR 700,000 at EUR 300,000 (Victaura Research assumption: simple arithmetic that ignores surcharges, lower rates on financial income and foreign tax credits). The regime is being moved into a narrower, wealthier band by design.
The grandfathering principle stages the cohort effect. Taxpayers keep the amount in force when they transferred residence: EUR 100,000 for earlier transfers, EUR 200,000 for transfers after Decree-Law 113/2024 entered into force on 10 August 2024 and up to 31 December 2025, and EUR 300,000 from 1 January 2026.
The Impatriati tightening is the other half of the reset, and the cumulation closure from 2027 (DL 38/2026) removes a structuring path. Taxpayers who transferred residence in 2024 to 2026 can combine 24-bis on foreign income with impatriati on Italian income, an interpretation confirmed by the Agenzia delle Entrate in its reply to ruling request no. 16 of 2025. For taxpayers transferring from tax year 2027, the two regimes will be mutually exclusive. The Victaura Research reading is that the closure fits a broader European move toward less stackable preferential regimes.
The Pensionati 7 per cent expansion is the counter-direction. Law 34/2026 raised the eligible threshold from 20,000 to 30,000 inhabitants from 7 April 2026, adding a group of mid-sized Southern towns for which no official count has been published. The 7 per cent regime, durable for ten years, remains the most economically aggressive Italian flat-tax election by effective rate. The directional read for 2026 to 2028 is that the 24-bis curve flattens while the Pensionati curve steepens. The mix moves toward retirees in the South and away from active HNW in the North.
Italy in 2026 is pricing its regimes for a smaller, wealthier cohort. The Budget Law's technical report assumes new residents will arrive at about half the recent pace.
Victaura Research, on the technical report to Law 199/2025 and the grandfathering rules
What this means for the operator and the principal
For the operator working in Italian prime real estate, the institutional read is straightforward. Demand is anchored to a working fiscal frame that counted 1,495 people in 2023, according to the Corte dei Conti, and is being moved upmarket without being closed. Supply at the top of the lake, the coast and the protected landscape band is statutorily constrained by D.Lgs 42/2004. The binding constraint is execution: navigating autorizzazione paesaggistica, coordinating with the Soprintendenza, managing restoration to institutional-partner standards, and aligning capital with milestones rather than promises. Execution risk sits with whoever converts a constrained site into a finished, compliant deliverable.
For the principal selecting Italy as a platform, the institutional read is honest. Italy is the right residence jurisdiction for a UHNW family optimising for lifestyle, EU residence, fiscal duration, healthcare and education. It is not the right jurisdiction for dispute resolution, for time-sensitive administrative process, or for a family whose primary requirement is institutional trust on the Swiss or Singapore frame. The V-Dem flag and the WJP civil-justice reading are not invalidating. They are conditions to underwrite. The professional response is to anchor habitually in Italy, to book in a Tier 1 booking centre (Switzerland, Singapore, the Netherlands), to operate the regulated platform out of a Tier 1 operating jurisdiction (Netherlands, Singapore), and to keep contractual disputes outside Italian civil jurisdiction by deliberate choice-of-law and arbitration clauses.
The composition of an Italian allocation is not symmetric. A Como lakefront is a long-hold asset on land where new building requires landscape authorisation. A Milan apartment is a working-capital and operating-rhythm asset. A Forte dei Marmi villa is a seasonal lifestyle and brand-prestige asset. A Tuscan casale is a long-cycle landscape asset. A Pensionati Southern residence is a fiscal and lifestyle proposition with a thinner exit market. The mix should be designed against the family's actual operating rhythm, not against the brochure of any single destination. The same discipline applies to this dossier, which names the Italian regimes with their statutory references, triangulates the scaling figures against the Corte dei Conti caveats, sets out the weaknesses with the same precision as the strengths and declares its own conflicts in the disclosure that follows.
Skin in the game disclosure. Victaura, through its parent Greystone B.V. (Netherlands), develops projects on Lake Como (Italy), in Nungwi, Zanzibar (Tanzania), on Gili Air and in Uluwatu, Bali (Indonesia), and holds an off-plan capital position on Al Marjan Island, Ras Al Khaimah (UAE). Readers should assume commentary may be influenced by, or benefit, these positions. This document is classified as marketing material under MiFID II Article 24(3). It is not investment advice.
Corrections, 27 September 2026
What the article said and what it says now. The published version described the art. 24-bis population as growing seventeen-fold from 94 entrants in 2017 to about 1,631 active taxpayers in 2024; it attributed 1,631 to industry estimates, and the article now uses the Corte dei Conti count of 1,495 people in 2023 (Relazione sul rendiconto generale dello Stato 2024, June 2025). It attributed to MEF a projection that the EUR 300,000 charge would halve new accessions; the technical report to the 2026 Budget Law, as summarised by the Chamber of Deputies, prudentially assumes about 130 new residents a year against an average of about 270 in 2021 to 2023. It gave breakevens of EUR 700,000 to 1 million and EUR 1.5 to 2 million, which no source supports; these are now shown as simple arithmetic and labelled as a Victaura Research assumption. It stated that the family-member surcharge was doubled alongside the 2024 increase; Law 199/2025 raised it from EUR 25,000 to EUR 50,000 from 2026. It described the grandfathering and its expiry dates incorrectly; the amount depends on the date residence was transferred. For the impatriati regime, it stated that buying a main home raised the exemption to 60 per cent and extended the regime by three years; per the Agenzia delle Entrate, the 60 per cent rate depends on a minor child, and the three-year extension applies only to 2024 arrivals with a home bought by the end of 2023. It attributed art. 24-ter to Decree-Law 34/2019 and put the towns added by Law 34/2026 at seventy to eighty; no official count exists. It described 209 Investor Visa Nulla Osta issued since inception, per MIMIT; the figure, reported by IMI Daily from Italian authorities, counts applications in 2025, and MIMIT publishes no statistics. It cited a UAE Golden Visa stock above 158,000; that figure is Dubai's issuance in 2023 alone. It gave Lake Como +54 per cent over five years and 60 per cent foreign demand, with prices up to EUR 15,000 per square metre; Knight Frank's Wealth Report 2026 does not report the five-year figure, and Engel & Völkers and Nomisma give 52 per cent for Central Italy and 28 per cent for the North in their 2026 report (60 and about 30 per cent in 2025). It gave Costa Smeralda at EUR 7,000 to 12,000 per square metre; the 2025 report gave EUR 26,000 to 32,000 for Porto Cervo and Porto Rotondo, and the 2026 report gives an average of EUR 28,000 to 33,000. Forte dei Marmi figures of EUR 10,065 and EUR 40,000 per square metre are replaced with idealista first-quarter 2025 averages of about EUR 10,100 to 10,150. UNESCO sites are updated from 60 to 62. The published version placed Italy behind only Germany, France and the UK in the G7 on the WJP index, with a civil enforcement score of 0.36 and civil cases lasting 514 days against an EU average of 220; Italy ranks last in the G7, the 0.36 score could not be verified, and the EU Justice Scoreboard gives 511 days at first instance in 2023 with no EU average. It described the March 2026 referendum turnout as the highest since 2006 and a BTP-Bund widening of 45 to 50 basis points; turnout was below 2016, and the spread closed at 87 basis points on the day of the result against 92 the previous Friday, after an intraday high of 101. It quoted Antonio Tajani as defending the regimes as time-limited and citing the 2024 doubling; Euronews reports only that he denied Italy practises fiscal dumping. It placed Switzerland second in the Henley ranking; the US is second. It presented a CenTax-based UK outflow of 1,800 to 3,800 and 400 to 600 UK arrivals in Italy; CenTax has published no such figures, and the estimate is withdrawn. It gave about 4,700 Swiss lump-sum taxpayers in 2024 and a WJP top-ten rank for Switzerland; the latest official count is 4,557 at the end of 2018, and Switzerland is not covered by the WJP index. The UAE press freedom rank is updated from 164 to 158 (2026), and references to an EU passport are corrected to EU residence.
A further review on the same day refined some of the corrections above and fixed further points. A further check against the cited sources led to these changes. The article gave foreign buyers at about 30 per cent of prime purchases in Northern Italy and 60 per cent in Central Italy as current figures; these come from the Engel & Völkers and Nomisma Market Report Italia 2025, and the April 2026 edition gives 28 per cent for the North, 52 per cent for the Centre and 41 per cent for the South and Islands (Nomisma). It gave Porto Cervo and Porto Rotondo at EUR 26,000 to 32,000 per square metre as current; that is the 2025 edition, and the 2026 edition gives an average of EUR 28,000 to 33,000 with top properties at EUR 47,000. It said the BTP-Bund spread moved by single-digit basis points after the March 2026 referendum; ANSA reports a close of 87 against 92 the previous Friday but an intraday high of 101 on the day of the result, and QuiFinanza reports that the spread exceeded 100 the week before. It placed Switzerland third on an ND-GAIN climate-readiness index; the cited source ranks it third on the ND-GAIN index of countries most prepared to adapt to climate change. It called 4,557 Swiss lump-sum taxpayers at the end of 2018 the latest official count; it is the latest figure published by the Federal Department of Finance, which refers readers to the cantons for current data. It said the 300-metre landscape band on Lake Como cannot be revised, unlike the tax regime; the band is also set by statute (D.Lgs 42/2004) and could be amended by law. References have been added for the Knight Frank PIRI 100 databank, the referendum results, the spread, the Forte dei Marmi prices, the UNESCO ranking and the Henley 2026 report.
From Victaura
References
- Italy, Legge 232/2016 (introduction of *art. 24-bis* TUIR, EUR 100,000 substitute tax)
- Italy, Decreto Legge 113/2024 (doubling of *24-bis* to EUR 200,000, August 2024)
- Italy, Legge 199/2025 (Budget Law 2026, *24-bis* increase to EUR 300,000)
- Italy, Decreto Legislativo 209/2023, *art. 5* (Impatriati regime as recast from 2024)
- Agenzia delle Entrate, *art. 24-ter* TUIR regime for foreign pensioners (7 per cent), updated May 2026
- Italy, Legge 34/2026 (Pensionati threshold raised to 30,000 inhabitants, in force 7 April 2026)
- Italy, Investor Visa for Italy programme (MIMIT)
- Italy, Code of Cultural Heritage and Landscape (D.Lgs 42/2004, Art. 142)
- Corte dei Conti, Relazione sul rendiconto generale dello Stato 2024, Sintesi, 26 June 2025 (p. 18, *art. 24-bis*)
- World Justice Project, Rule of Law Index 2025, Italy country profile
- V-Dem Institute, Democracy Report 2026 (Unraveling The Democratic Era?, 10th edition)
- Knight Frank, PIRI 100, The Wealth Report 2026
- Engel & Völkers Italia / Nomisma, Market Report Italia 2025
- Henley & Partners, Private Wealth Migration Report 2025 (directional only)
- Tax Policy Associates (Dan Neidle), forensic critique of Henley methodology, July 2025
- Italian constitutional referendum on judicial reform, 22-23 March 2026 (results)
- François Bayrou, fiscal-dumping critique against Italy, September 2025 (Euronews)
- Camera dei Deputati, Verifica delle quantificazioni A.C. 2750 (Budget Law 2026), Vol. I, December 2025
- Confindustria, DL 38/2026: prime osservazioni, April 2026
- IMI Daily, Italy golden visa applications, December 2025
- IMI Daily, Dubai issued 158,000 golden visas in 2023 (GDRFA), May 2024
- Nomisma, Engel & Völkers Market Report Italia 2025
- UNESCO World Heritage Centre, Italy
- European Commission, 2025 Rule of Law Report, country chapter Italy (EU Justice Scoreboard data)
- QuiFinanza, BTP-Bund spread, 31 March 2026
- Henley & Partners, Private Wealth Migration Report 2025 press release, June 2025
- Reporters Without Borders, United Arab Emirates, 2026 index
- Swiss Federal Department of Finance, Besteuerung nach dem Aufwand
- Climate Adaptation Platform, ND-GAIN readiness ranking, February 2026
- Warwick CAGE, Non-doms: the end of an era, November 2024
- Nomisma, Engel & Völkers Market Report Italia 2026, April 2026
- La Nuova Sardegna, Costa Smeralda prices in the Engel & Völkers Market Report Italia 2025, March 2025
- Knight Frank, The Wealth Report 2026 (PIRI 100 databank, p. 78)
- ANSA, BTP-Bund spread closes at 87 basis points, 23 March 2026
- Quotidiano.net, justice referendum 2026 results (Eligendo domestic count), March 2026
- 2016 Italian constitutional referendum, results and turnout (Wikipedia)
- QuiFinanza, Forte dei Marmi neighbourhood prices (idealista, first quarter 2025), May 2025
- idealista, The 10 most expensive streets in Italy to buy a house in 2024
- Henley & Partners, Private Wealth Migration Report 2026 press release, 16 June 2026
- Business Today, countries with the most UNESCO World Heritage Sites in 2026, September 2026
- Politecnico di Milano Osservatorio Family Office, 244 family offices at 1 June 2025 (BeBeez)
The information on this website is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or financial advice. Indicated returns are estimates and are not guaranteed; past performance is not indicative of future results. Capital invested is at risk.
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